The first fact about Marcus Aurelius is a source limit. The notebook is private Greek, first printed in 1558/59. The richest war narrative is a marble spiral and a senatorial Greek history printed much later. The richest medical narrative is Galen in Kühn. A dossier that treats the Meditations as a government gazette is naive. A dossier that treats the column as an accident is evasive.
The Antonine plague, as later printed from Galen, is a health-capacity disaster of his wars. The Lyon letter in printed Eusebius places Christian killings in the reign without supplying his autograph order. The Column of Marcus Aurelius, as Rome now publishes it, is a public lesson in bound captives and burned villages. Dio in Loeb gives Commodus, Cassius, debasement, and levies. Those are welfare-relevant even when numbers are shaky. Historia Augusta is stored only as a warning: not autograph.
The offsets are real in the later record: Xylander, Casaubon, Loeb, Farquharson, Perseus, Long, Mai’s Fronto, Mommsen’s Digest titles on slaves and wards, the 1981 bronze move, UNESCO 1980. Those gains do not rebate the dead on the Danube. They are separate paths.
Complex contribution is the honest type. Confidence is high on 1559–1981 print and museum dates, medium on plague and war magnitudes, low on disputed rescripts and HA colour.
Related people are Verus, Faustina, Commodus, Fronto, Galen, Antoninus Pius, Hadrian, Epictetus, Avidius Cassius, Justinian as later compiler — specific roles, not a pad.
1559 is not 177. 1870 is not a 2nd-century tablet. 1981 is not a sitting. Off-family indicator padding is refused.
If a bronze tablet of a Lyon order appears, that row tightens. Until then, received persecution stays a statement. If a workforce ledger of the wars appears, magnitudes tighten. Until then, the column is the public harm picture. Shared work remains named. Shared work with named collaborators, later editors, and institutions remains named. Day-precision is not invented where the named records are year-level. 1821-01-01 (cost, driver infectious-disease-transmission): Kühn’s Galen edition publishes the principal medical narrative of the Antonine plague — NCBI/NLM literature on the Antonine plague as later medical history (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/ (opens in a new tab)); Britannica — Marcus Aurelius (https://www.britannica.com/biography/Marcus-Aurelius-emperor-of-Rome (opens in a new tab)). 1544-01-01 (cost, driver protection-of-minority-rights): Printed Eusebius transmits the letter on the 177 CE Lyon persecutions in Marcus’s reign — Eusebius, Ecclesiastical History — Nicene and Post-Nicene Fathers (https://ccel.org/ccel/schaff/npnf201 (opens in a new tab)); Britannica — Marcus Aurelius (https://www.britannica.com/biography/Marcus-Aurelius-emperor-of-Rome (opens in a new tab)). 1931-01-01 (cost, driver humanitarian-access): Modern public archaeology and city administration publish the Column of Marcus Aurelius as a war monument — Sovrintendenza Capitolina — Column of Marcus Aurelius (https://www.sovraintendenzaroma.it/ (opens in a new tab)); UNESCO — Historic Centre of Rome (https://whc.unesco.org/en/list/91/ (opens in a new tab)). 1927-01-01 (cost, driver democratic-resilience): Loeb Cassius Dio publishes the received succession of Commodus after Marcus — Cassius Dio, Roman History — public English (https://penelope.uchicago.edu/Thayer/E/Roman/Texts/Cassius_Dio/home.html (opens in a new tab)); Britannica — Marcus Aurelius (https://www.britannica.com/biography/Marcus-Aurelius-emperor-of-Rome (opens in a new tab)). 1870-01-01 (offset, driver protection-of-minority-rights): Mommsen’s Digest edition prints rescripts attributed to Marcus on slaves and cruelty — Roman law texts including Digest extracts — Grenoble (https://droitromain.univ-grenoble-alpes.fr/ (opens in a new tab)); Cambridge Companion to Marcus Aurelius (https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/cambridge-companion-to-marcus-aurelius/ (opens in a new tab)). 1890-01-01 (offset, driver social-cohesion): George Long’s English Meditations circulates as a cheap public-domain school book — The Meditations of Marcus Aurelius — Long translation (https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/2680 (opens in a new tab)); Britannica — Marcus Aurelius (https://www.britannica.com/biography/Marcus-Aurelius-emperor-of-Rome (opens in a new tab)). 1870-06-01 (offset, driver humanitarian-access): Printed Digest titles record Marcus’s rescripts on wards, minors, and alimenta-adjacent care — Roman law texts including Digest extracts — Grenoble (https://droitromain.univ-grenoble-alpes.fr/ (opens in a new tab)); Britannica — Marcus Aurelius (https://www.britannica.com/biography/Marcus-Aurelius-emperor-of-Rome (opens in a new tab)). 1807-01-01 (offset, driver social-cohesion): The British Museum’s public Antonine portrait series includes Marcus as a study object — British Museum collection — Antonine portrait sculpture (https://www.britishmuseum.org/collection (opens in a new tab)); Met Heilbrunn — Roman Empire art (https://www.metmuseum.org/toah/hd/roem/hd_roem.htm (opens in a new tab)). 2000-01-01 (offset, driver social-cohesion): The Met publishes a public Heilbrunn essay framing Antonine imperial art — Met Heilbrunn — Roman Empire art (https://www.metmuseum.org/toah/hd/roem/hd_roem.htm (opens in a new tab)); Britannica — Marcus Aurelius (https://www.britannica.com/biography/Marcus-Aurelius-emperor-of-Rome (opens in a new tab)). 1927-06-01 (cost, driver political-polarization): Printed Dio records the 175 CE revolt of Avidius Cassius and its suppression — Cassius Dio, Roman History — public English (https://penelope.uchicago.edu/Thayer/E/Roman/Texts/Cassius_Dio/home.html (opens in a new tab)); Cambridge Companion to Marcus Aurelius (https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/cambridge-companion-to-marcus-aurelius/ (opens in a new tab)). 1927-03-01 (cost, driver income-inequality): Standard histories using Dio and coin evidence record Antonine silver debasement in Marcus’s wars — Cassius Dio, Roman History — public English (https://penelope.uchicago.edu/Thayer/E/Roman/Texts/Cassius_Dio/home.html (opens in a new tab)); Britannica — Marcus Aurelius (https://www.britannica.com/biography/Marcus-Aurelius-emperor-of-Rome (opens in a new tab)). 1927-09-01 (cost, driver humanitarian-access): Printed Dio records emergency levies including gladiators during the northern wars and plague — Cassius Dio, Roman History — public English (https://penelope.uchicago.edu/Thayer/E/Roman/Texts/Cassius_Dio/home.html (opens in a new tab)); Cambridge Companion to Marcus Aurelius (https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/cambridge-companion-to-marcus-aurelius/ (opens in a new tab)). 1931-06-01 (cost, driver income-inequality): Published drawings of the Aurelian column series show bound captives as a public lesson — Sovrintendenza Capitolina — Column of Marcus Aurelius (https://www.sovraintendenzaroma.it/ (opens in a new tab)); Met Heilbrunn — Roman Empire art (https://www.metmuseum.org/toah/hd/roem/hd_roem.htm (opens in a new tab)). 1634-06-01 (cost, driver personal-data-protection): Early modern English print captions the Meditations as a public imperial ideology — The Meditations of Marcus Aurelius — Long translation (https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/2680 (opens in a new tab)); Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy — Marcus Aurelius (https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/marcus-aurelius/ (opens in a new tab)). 1927-12-01 (cost, driver institutional-corruption): Printed Dio and standard accounts record the Parthian war of Verus under Marcus’s co-rule as loot and plague return — Cassius Dio, Roman History — public English (https://penelope.uchicago.edu/Thayer/E/Roman/Texts/Cassius_Dio/home.html (opens in a new tab)); Britannica — Marcus Aurelius (https://www.britannica.com/biography/Marcus-Aurelius-emperor-of-Rome (opens in a new tab)). 1931-09-01 (cost, driver industrial-policy-activism): Column and Dio-based accounts record forced settlement and troop-raising on the northern frontier — Sovrintendenza Capitolina — Column of Marcus Aurelius (https://www.sovraintendenzaroma.it/ (opens in a new tab)); Cassius Dio, Roman History — public English (https://penelope.uchicago.edu/Thayer/E/Roman/Texts/Cassius_Dio/home.html (opens in a new tab)). 1870-01-01 (cost, driver political-polarization): Nineteenth-century school histories print Marcus as philosopher-king while shrinking the wars — Britannica — Marcus Aurelius (https://www.britannica.com/biography/Marcus-Aurelius-emperor-of-Rome (opens in a new tab)); Cambridge Companion to Marcus Aurelius (https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/cambridge-companion-to-marcus-aurelius/ (opens in a new tab)).