Infectious-disease transmission pressure is the continuing intensity of person-to-person (and vector) spread of pathogens that already have control programmes — tuberculosis as the disclosed World Bank meter, with influenza, measles, and novel respiratory viruses as neighbouring channels. It is not COVID-19 pandemic, not mpox outbreaks
Productivity-Growth Potential is a continuing, time-varying factor within macroeconomics and finance. It is modeled as a Driver because its intensity, capacity, or prevalence can change across reporting periods and can transmit the effects of multiple events, decisions, and institutions to later outcomes. It is not a dated event, a person, an organization, a welfare sco…
Updated Jan 2025
Monetary-policy tightness is the continuing stance of policy rates, balance-sheet runoff, and forward guidance as a meter, not a single hike. It is not a person and not a unique basis-point integer stored as size. The live title of this node is Monetary-Policy Tightness. The driver is not inflation-2021-23. That event bundle is the 2021–23 sur…
Updated Jan 2024
Cryptoasset Adoption is a continuing, time-varying factor within macroeconomics and finance. It is modeled as a Driver because its intensity, capacity, or prevalence can change across reporting periods and can transmit the effects of multiple events, decisions, and institutions to later outcomes. It is not a dated event, a person, an organization, a welfare score, or an…
Maritime-Logistics Capacity is a continuing, time-varying factor within trade, logistics, and industrial policy. It is modeled as a Driver because its intensity, capacity, or prevalence can change across reporting periods and can transmit the effects of multiple events, decisions, and institutions to later outcomes. It is not a dated event, a person, an organization, a…
The continuing pressure to clear forests for agriculture, cattle, logging and mining, concentrated in tropical regions such as the Amazon. Deforestation both releases stored carbon (raising emissions) and removes carbon sinks; its intensity rises and falls with enforcement, commodity demand and political will.
Housing Affordability is a continuing, time-varying factor within macroeconomics and finance. It is modeled as a Driver because its intensity, capacity, or prevalence can change across reporting periods and can transmit the effects of multiple events, decisions, and institutions to later outcomes. It is not a dated event, a person, an organization, a welfare score, or a…
The availability of connectivity, devices, and remote/online learning provision for students. A continuing factor whose importance surged with COVID-19 school closures, when over 400 million of the 1.6 billion affected learners could not access any distance learning.
Burhan SAF civil war is one continuing domestic mechanism in Sudan: the army chief who on 25 October 2021 dissolved the civilian-military Sovereignty Council and detained Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok, then on 15 April 2023 commanded the Sudanese Armed Forces in open war against the Rapid Support Forces. It is a mechanism, not a reluctant-restorer brochure and not a Soviet-…
Updated Jan 2025
Energy-Price Volatility is a continuing, time-varying factor within energy and natural resources. It is modeled as a Driver because its intensity, capacity, or prevalence can change across reporting periods and can transmit the effects of multiple events, decisions, and institutions to later outcomes. It is not a dated event, a person, an organization, a welfare score,…
Updated Jan 2024
The HIV/AIDS global response is the continuing architecture that converted a fatal retroviral pandemic into a chronic, treatable infection for people who can reach antiretroviral therapy (ART), while leaving key populations and under-funded programmes behind. It is not a unique Factrail death total, not a 1980s mood, and not access to essential medicines
Trade Protectionism is a continuing, time-varying factor within trade, logistics, and industrial policy. It is modeled as a Driver because its intensity, capacity, or prevalence can change across reporting periods and can transmit the effects of multiple events, decisions, and institutions to later outcomes. It is not a dated event, a person, an organization, a welfare…